Night will be cooler than normal during October 2024

 

Today night temperature recorded 20.5, which is 2.3°C below normal (normal night temperature is 22.8°C) at Tikamgarh, M.P.. Thus the mean daily temperature is also expected to below normal during October 2024, which is beneficial for rabi sowing.  After retreat of monsoon, farmers are advised to start sowing of early peas, Toria, Mustard for vegetable purpose for utilization of stored soil moisture. Early sowing of Chickpea after 15^th October is also advisable. The mean daily temperature for sowing of barley and rainfed wheat may be started around 20^th October. It is advised the farmers to keep watch on biweekly weather forecast and soil moisture conditions for rabi sowing in Bundelkhand of Madhya Pradesh.  

Hottest days during last week of May in Bundelkhand and Rainfall during June 2024

 

The day maximum temperature is recorded very high during 24- 31^st May 2024 in many places in Bundelkhand agroclimatic zone of Madhya Pradesh. The Niwari district of Madhya Pradesh recorded 48.7°C on 27^th May 2024and reported to the hottest places in Madhya Pradesh. The high temperature during last week of May or Navtapa is believed to be beneficial for agriculture as well as rainfall during kharif season. The rainfall during the monsoon season in central India is predicted above normal by India Meteorological Department.

It is expected that rainfall during June 2024 in Bundelkhand agro climatic zone especially for Tikamgarh, Datia and Niwari district may be received normal to below normal rainfall. The break in monsoon during July is be more than 10 days, which may be negatively affects  the crop establishment, therefore farmers must fallow the biweekly agro advisory and weather forecasting information and try to adjust their crop management accordingly. 

Weather forecast and El Nino

 

New forecasts are being done every day, month and society as whole be benefited by these forecast results. But sometime over estimated forecasting are also been reported and later it is found out that it is not true/ happened. For example, the forecasting of February 2024 warming was done with El Nino effect. Therefore, it would probably be better to some extent if we do not jump to conclusions.

The cold conditions are prevailing during the second week of March 2024 in central India; especially in eastern Madhya Pradesh is not normal. Today a new has been published that the coming Monsoon will be normal due to ENSO neutral conditions towards the end of the summer season.

Hope for the best.

Possibility of drop in temperature in Bundelkhand Agro climatic zone of Madhya Pradesh

 

Today maximum and minimum temperature are recorded 36.5 and 20.5°C respectively at Tikamgarh. These temperature records are above daily normal, hence creating soil moisture loss at faster rate. There is possibility of cloudy weather after 16^th October, 2023, due to which the maxim day temperature will be reduced as well after clear sky drop in minimum may also possible.      

Farmers are advised to do early sowing of Pea, vegetables, Mustard for Sag, Toria and Barley to take the advantage of soil moisture. Farmers’ are advised to start sowing of rainfed wheat, Gram, Mustard after 20^th October farmers. To take advantage of dry weather conditions, farmers’ are advised to complete the harvesting of mature kharif crops. Prepare the field and do arrangements of seed, fertilizer etc. for Rabi sowing.

Rain ,drizzle and monsoon onset

 

Rain ,drizzle and monsoon onset

This year there is a very peculiar observation that in general the number of western disturbances and upper air troughs are observed to be high in number during the April and May months,  particularly in Nautapa. Nautapa will start from 22 May to 30 May 2023.

The delayed onset of monsoon in India is predicted by IMD and SKYMET as well as other agencies, but its onset may be possible on 31 May 2023. After a week of lull progress a break may be possible.

 There will be the possibility of rain, and drizzling with thunderstorm activity in the Bundelkhand Agro climatic zone of M.P.  from 26-29^th May 2023. Framers are advised to delay irrigation in the orchards and vegetable crops at least for 4-5 days.

Possibility of rainfall in Bundelkhand Agroclimatic zone during two consecutive weeks

 

Possibility of rainfall in Bundelkhand Agroclimatic zone during two consecutive weeks

 

There is the possibility of light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms after 2-3 days in Bundelkhand Agro climatic zone of M.P. The rainfall with thunderstorm activity will be continuing in the first week of May also. Farmers are advised to delay irrigation in Jayad, fruits, vegetables, and fodder crops. The increased soil moisture plays an important role in summer ploughing. The harvested crops may be stored inside the house or in a covered area.

Day temperature may be increased at faster rate and above normal in Bundelkhand Agro- climatic zone

 

Today (9 Feb.,23) the day temperature is 27.6°C at Tikamgarh in M.P.. The day temperature may be remaining above 31° -32°C after 25 February 2023. At grain maturation stage of wheat it will be around 33°C . This may harmful for wheat productivity in this zone. The water demand is increased. Hence farmers are advices to be vigilant on rising day temperature .