Rainfall
Observed at Tikamgarh
|
Month |
May |
June |
July |
|
Normal |
6.0 |
78 |
311 |
|
Actual
observed |
70.4 |
22.3 |
80mm(1-6July) |
Rainfall observed during June was below 65% of the normal
rainfall at Tikamgarh. After the onset of monsoon (2nd July,2026)
rainfall was observed and farmers are able to sow their kharif crops. It
is expected a light to medium rainfall during next 3-4 days in Bundelkhand
agroclimatic zone.
Rainfall
in July 2026
- IMD has forecast below-normal
rainfall for July 2026,
with all-India rainfall expected to be less than 94% of the Long Period
Average (LPA) due to the strengthening El Niño. Central India,
including Bundelkhand, is expected to experience uneven rainfall
distribution, with long dry spells interrupted by a few heavy rainfall
events rather than regular widespread rain. Although rainfall activity may
improve during parts of July, the month as a whole is still likely to
remain below normal. Kharif
crop sowing status
Across India:
- By late June 2026, kharif sowing was about 23% lower
than the previous year because of delayed monsoon onset and rainfall
deficiency. For Bundelkhand, the likely situation is:
- Delayed sowing of soybean, pigeonpea (arhar),
sesame, black gram (urd), green gram (moong), and maize in rainfed
areas.
- Farmers are waiting for 50–75 mm of cumulative
rainfall before undertaking large-scale sowing.
- Early-sown crops may face moisture stress if dry spells
exceed 10–15 days.
Crop-wise
recommendations
|
Rainfall
situation |
Recommended
crops |
|
Sowing before 15 July |
Soybean, sesame, maize, pigeonpea |
|
Sowing during 15–25 July |
Short-duration soybean, urd,
moong, sesame |
|
Sowing after 25 July |
Black gram, sesame, pearl millet,
fodder crops |
|
Very late sowing (after early
August) |
Horse gram, cowpea, fodder sorghum |
Advisory
for Bundelkhand farmers
- Wait until adequate soil moisture is available
before sowing.
- Prefer short-duration and drought-tolerant varieties
if sowing is delayed.
- Complete seed treatment with fungicide and
biofertilizers before sowing.
- Maintain moisture through ridge–furrow planting and
mulching where possible.
- Keep contingency seed available in case re-sowing
becomes necessary.
Outlook
for the rest of the season
If the predicted strong El Niño
persists and August–September rainfall also remains below normal,
Bundelkhand may experience:
- Reduced soybean and maize yields.
- Better performance of pigeonpea and sesame compared
with soybean.
- Greater need for life-saving irrigation where water is
available.
- Increased risk of mid-season agricultural drought,
especially in shallow black and red soils.
